The live engine.
Price chart with calibrated forecast intervals, today's market commentary, and the latest reads — the same data the desk uses, refreshed every 30 seconds. We publish the ~80% interval and the directional probability honestly: direction is roughly a coinflip (here's why), the forecast interval is what we calibrate against.
BTC1h candles · last 200 bars
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Right-axis lines are the latest 3 active signals' levels —
entry (dotted),
invalidation (dashed red),
target (dashed green).
Same data and styling as the desk's internal terminal. The calibrated forecast interval
is the panel below.
—
expected move
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Direction
— ~ coinflip
— ~ coinflip
Latest reads
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Reading this page honestly: the chart shows the live price and the
~80% calibrated interval for the next ~5 hours (the band the engine has learned to keep prices inside,
out-of-sample). Direction is shown as a probability because it's an honest coinflip — we don't claim a directional edge.
The Latest reads panel shows every posture: ACT means we'd take the trade with the shown levels,
WATCH and AVOID are reads we logged but did not publish as actionable — so we never anchor
them with a dollar entry retroactively. AVOID is the most common posture by design.
Market commentary BTC